steve, good morning. >> good morning, becky. thanks. the stronger than expected jobs were not making believers of many economists. they continue to expect weak fourth quarter growth after that number came in at 146,000 with an expectation of around 85,000. fourth quarter growth estimates range from a low of below a half a point, 0.4%. that coming from morgan stanley. the high from what i could gather this morning, 1.5% at jpmorgan. remember that third quarter growth was 2.7 pfrs. a lot of this, though, is going to be inventories. suggesting the growth back drop a little bit stronger than what the number might imply. but the declining unemployment rate fell 0.2 to 7.7% complicates the job for the fed which is expected to place operation twist, where it sells short-term securities and buys long-term ones, with just outright asset purchases on the long end. here's the fed forecast for the fourth quarter. notice the actual there, at 7.7%. it's now at -- the forecast for the end of this year,.1%. it's now averaging you can see there on the l